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Knowledge Base

Analysis

Advanced analytics for risk assessment and model sensitivity evaluation.

Sensitivity Analysis (Tornado)

Tornado Chart

For each parameter p from [Activation Rate, Churn Rate,Avg. Transaction, Purchases per Card, Fraud Rate,P2P Amount, Fiat→Crypto per Card]:Rhigh=Calculate({...params,  p:p×1.2})Rlow=Calculate({...params,  p:p×0.8})Impact=∣Rhigh.Net Profit−Rlow.Net Profit∣Sorted by Impact (descending)\begin{aligned}&\text{For each parameter } p \text{ from [Activation Rate, Churn Rate,} \\&\text{Avg. Transaction, Purchases per Card, Fraud Rate,} \\&\text{P2P Amount, Fiat→Crypto per Card]:} \\\\R_{\text{high}} &= \text{Calculate}(\{...\text{params},\; p: p \times 1.2\}) \\R_{\text{low}} &= \text{Calculate}(\{...\text{params},\; p: p \times 0.8\}) \\\text{Impact} &= \left| R_{\text{high}}.\text{Net Profit} - R_{\text{low}}.\text{Net Profit} \right| \\\\&\text{Sorted by Impact (descending)}\end{aligned}

Shows which parameters have the greatest impact on the final profit. Default deviation is ±20%.

Used in: Analysis tab.

Affects: Helps identify key profit drivers and risk areas.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Monte Carlo Simulation

Generates multiple random scenarios by varying model parameters within specified ranges. The result is a probability distribution of the final profit.

Used in: Analysis tab.

Affects: Risk assessment: P10/P50/P90 of income.

Scenario Analysis

Scenario Analysis

Allows creating multiple parameter sets and comparing their P&L on a single chart. Scenarios are saved along with the model.

Used in: Analysis tab.

Affects: Strategy comparison and planning.

Related Topics

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